.shop churn: 7.1% new vs 8.6% expired over the last 30 days

For .shop, the headline over the last 30 days is turnover rather than just size. New domains appearing in the zone were equal to 7.11% of the current zone, while expired domains dropping out were 8.58%. That puts the new-to-expired ratio at 0.83, so adds did not keep pace with drops in this window.

The arithmetic result is a net loss of 62,941 domains, or -1.45%, bringing .shop to 4,287,127 domains as of 2026-10-21. It still ranks #13 out of 1,597 zones tracked, and the longer view is not uniformly negative: the zone is up 18.88% over 12 months. But in the latest 30-day slice, new registrations were down 10.28% versus the prior 30 days, while expirations were up 1.09%.

For people watching .shop portfolios or DNS load patterns, does this look like routine churn in a large retail-oriented TLD, or a signal that renewal pressure is increasing?

Source: AllZonefiles.io zone stats – https://allzonefiles.io/zone/shop